Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 18:00 • Estadio Jalisco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.62) 0.94 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.6% 34.5% 39.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.6%
0 - 1
18.4%
1 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
CDS Tampico Madero
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leones Negros UDG 0 19.6% 18.4% 8.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.5% 12.7% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.7% 4.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeones Negros UDGCDS Tampico Madero
Played55
Form80%87%
Attack39%39%
Defense67%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leones Negros UDG CDS Tampico Madero
HATHAT
Played8816101020
Wins50%38%44%90%30%60%
Draws25%13%19%10%60%35%
Loses25%50%38%0%10%5%

Form: Leones Negros UDG: LWWDDDLLWLLWWWWL • CDS Tampico Madero: WDWDWWWWDDWDWDLWWWDW

League goals

Metric Leones Negros UDG CDS Tampico Madero
HATHAT
GF total1382122931
GF avg1.61.01.32.20.91.6
GA total9122110717
GA avg1.11.51.31.00.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeones Negros UDGCDS Tampico Madero
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%80%65%
1.538%38%45%20%
2.513%13%25%0%
3.56%6%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeones Negros UDGCDS Tampico Madero
HATHAT
Clean sheets314347
Failed to score134044

Penalties

MetricLeones Negros UDGCDS Tampico Madero
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total47

Streaks

MetricLeones Negros UDGCDS Tampico Madero
Wins44
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-34-12-3
Biggest losses2-34-1—1-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricLeones Negros UDGCDS Tampico Madero
Form48%52%
Att50%50%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h40%60%
Goals36%64%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or CDS Tampico Madero and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away2.74 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.04 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leones Negros UDG = 0.69 (league 1.62), CDS Tampico Madero = 0.94 (league 1.05)

CDS Tampico Madero
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leones Negros UDG 0 19.6% 18.4% 8.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.5% 12.7% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.7% 4.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.6% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 39.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1