Allsvenskan — Sweden
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 14:30 • Grimsta IP
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.67 (league 1.50) 1.48 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 17.4% 19.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
3 - 1
7.4%
1 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Vasteras SK FK
0 1 2 3 4 5
IF Brommapojkarna 0 1.6% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.2% 6.2% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.6% 8.3% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.0% 7.4% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
4 3.3% 4.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.8% 2.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away edge

Vasteras SK FK carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 48 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: IF Brommapojkarna +13.8, Vasteras SK FK -2.5.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
IF Brommapojkarna Elo 1504.5 · +13.8
vs
Vasteras SK FK Elo 1587.3 · -2.5
Elo gapVasteras SK FK +48
Home / draw / away32% / 25% / 43%
Expected home share43%
Combined Elo3091.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3091.8
Elo home share 43%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric IF Brommapojkarna Vasteras SK FK
Overall Elo1504.51587.3
Form Elo1522.61579.1
Home / Away Elo14661531.4
Attack Elo1544.21684.5
Defense Elo14951551.2
Last 5 Elo change+13.8-2.5

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. IF Brommapojkarna last-5 Elo change: +13.8; Vasteras SK FK last-5 Elo change: -2.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIF BrommapojkarnaVasteras SK FK
Played44
Form42%42%
Attack38%44%
Defense50%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.57 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 29 | 2.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric IF Brommapojkarna Vasteras SK FK
HATHAT
Played134224
Wins0%33%25%0%50%25%
Draws100%33%50%100%0%50%
Loses0%33%25%0%50%25%
IF BrommapojkarnaDDLW
Vasteras SK FKWDLD

League goals

Metric IF Brommapojkarna Vasteras SK FK
HATHAT
GF total246527
GF avg2.01.31.52.51.01.8
GA total268549
GA avg2.02.02.02.52.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIF BrommapojkarnaVasteras SK FK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%100%75%
1.575%75%50%75%
2.50%25%25%50%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIF BrommapojkarnaVasteras SK FK
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricIF BrommapojkarnaVasteras SK FK
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricIF BrommapojkarnaVasteras SK FK
Wins01
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-2—0-1
Biggest losses—3-0—4-1
Goals For2231
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricIF BrommapojkarnaVasteras SK FK
Form50%50%
Att46%54%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h62%38%
Goals52%48%
Total54.0%46.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Betfair
Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle
Away2.95 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.98 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.15 @ Betfair
📊

League standings

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