Allsvenskan
— Sweden
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 14:30 •
Gamla Ullevi
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.50)
1.48 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.2% | 26.4% | 52.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.6%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 2
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Gais | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| IFK Goteborg | 0 | 9.9% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.2% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: IFK Goteborg -30.4, Gais -36.6.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
IFK Goteborg
vs
Gais
Elo gapIFK Goteborg +13
Home / draw / away37% / 29% / 34%
Expected home share52%
Combined Elo3204.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3204.6
Elo home share
52%
Match tone
Must Watch
| Metric | IFK Goteborg | Gais |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1591.1 | 1613.5 |
| Form Elo | 1563.2 | 1577 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1528.4 | 1539.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1651.9 | 1606.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1599.1 | 1611.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -30.4 | -36.6 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. IFK Goteborg last-5 Elo change: -30.4; Gais last-5 Elo change: -36.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | IFK Goteborg | Gais |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 17% | 8% |
| Attack | 13% | 13% |
| Defense | 63% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 6 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | IFK Goteborg | Gais | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 100% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
IFK GoteborgLLDD
GaisLLLD
League goals
| Metric | IFK Goteborg | Gais | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | IFK Goteborg | Gais | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | IFK Goteborg | Gais | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | IFK Goteborg | Gais |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | IFK Goteborg | Gais |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | IFK Goteborg | Gais |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 54.4% | 45.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.55 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Dafabet
Away2.85 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.95 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.93 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.17 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…