BK Hacken vs Sirius

Allsvenskan — Sweden

Mon, Apr 27 2026 • 17:00 • Nordic Wellness Arena

Not Started

BK Hacken

—

Sirius

Expected Goals

1.34 (league 1.49) 3.34 (league 1.35)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
11.3%	12.8%	63.5%

best score tips

1 - 3

7.7%

1 - 2

6.9%

1 - 4

6.4%

Score & goals probability table

		Sirius
		0	1	2	3	4	5
BK Hacken	0	0.9%	3.1%	5.2%	5.8%	4.8%	3.2%
	1	1.2%	4.2%	6.9%	7.7%	6.4%	4.3%
	2	0.8%	2.8%	4.6%	5.2%	4.3%	2.9%
	3	0.4%	1.2%	2.1%	2.3%	1.9%	1.3%
	4	0.1%	0.4%	0.7%	0.8%	0.6%	0.4%
	5	0.0%	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: BK Hacken +23.7, Sirius +47.1.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

BK Hacken Elo 1595.3 · +23.7

Sirius Elo 1647.5 · +47.1

Elo gapSirius +17

Home / draw / away35% / 28% / 37%

Expected home share48%

Combined Elo3242.8

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3242.8

Elo home share 48%

Match tone Must Watch

Metric	BK Hacken	Sirius
Overall Elo	1595.3	1647.5
Form Elo	1623.2	1700
Home / Away Elo	1532.2	1533.6
Attack Elo	1675.7	1777.7
Defense Elo	1523.9	1530.2
Last 5 Elo change	+23.7	+47.1

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. BK Hacken last-5 Elo change: +23.7; Sirius last-5 Elo change: +47.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	BK Hacken	Sirius
Played	4	4
Form	67%	100%
Attack	56%	75%
Defense	63%	81%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	9 \| 2.3	12 \| 3
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.5	3 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

76%

FT probability

3.5+

54%

FT probability

BTTS

83%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	BK Hacken			Sirius
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	2	2	4	2	2	4
Wins	50%	50%	50%	100%	100%	100%
Draws	50%	50%	50%	0%	0%	0%
Loses	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

BK HackenDWWD

SiriusWWWW

League goals

Metric	BK Hacken			Sirius
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	4	5	9	6	6	12
GF avg	2.0	2.5	2.3	3.0	3.0	3.0
GA total	3	3	6	1	2	3
GA avg	1.5	1.5	1.5	0.5	1.0	0.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	BK Hacken		Sirius
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	100%	75%	100%	50%
1.5	100%	50%	100%	25%
2.5	25%	25%	75%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	25%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	BK Hacken			Sirius
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	1	1	1	1	2
Failed to score	0	0	0	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	BK Hacken	Sirius
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	3

Streaks

Metric	BK Hacken	Sirius
Wins	2	4
Draws	1	0
Losses	0	0

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	0-2	4-1	0-3
Biggest losses	—	—	—	—
Goals For	2	3	4	3
Goals Against	2	3	1	2

Model comparison

Metric	BK Hacken	Sirius
Form	40%	60%
Att	43%	57%
Def	33%	67%
Poisson Distribution	26%	74%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	55%	45%
Total	41.2%	58.8%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.96 @ Pinnacle

Draw3.65 @ Unibet

Away2.48 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Under 2.52.38 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365

No2.55 @ Unibet

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • BK Hacken vs Sirius

Metric	BK Hacken	Sirius
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	3 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	3