Allsvenskan
— Sweden
Mon, Apr 27 2026 • 17:00 •
Strandvallen
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.50)
0.74 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.0% | 26.1% | 18.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.9%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Halmstad | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mjallby AIF | 0 | 10.6% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.9% | 11.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Mjallby AIF carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 243 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Mjallby AIF -28.0, Halmstad -14.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Mjallby AIF
vs
Halmstad
Elo gapMjallby AIF +243
Home / draw / away66% / 18% / 16%
Expected home share80%
Combined Elo3171.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3171.8
Elo home share
80%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Mjallby AIF | Halmstad |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1689.8 | 1482 |
| Form Elo | 1664.7 | 1472.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1608.2 | 1487.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1697.8 | 1408.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1712.4 | 1453.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -28.0 | -14.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Mjallby AIF last-5 Elo change: -28.0; Halmstad last-5 Elo change: -14.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mjallby AIF | Halmstad |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 17% |
| Attack | 19% | 19% |
| Defense | 69% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 7 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mjallby AIF | Halmstad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Mjallby AIFLLWD
HalmstadLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Mjallby AIF | Halmstad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mjallby AIF | Halmstad | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 25% | 50% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mjallby AIF | Halmstad | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mjallby AIF | Halmstad |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mjallby AIF | Halmstad |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mjallby AIF | Halmstad |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 69.2% | 30.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.45 @ Betano
Draw4.60 @ Dafabet
Away8.20 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.91 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…