Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 12:55 • Venue TBA
Match Finished

Sur

1 - 2
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.26) 1.21 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.1% 21.1% 21.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ibri
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sur 0 3.8% 4.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.8% 9.5% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.8% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.5% 6.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSurIbri
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack100%44%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sur Ibri
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%0%11%0%25%11%
Draws25%0%11%20%0%11%
Loses50%100%78%80%75%78%

Form: Sur: LLDLLWLLL • Ibri: LDLLLLLWL

League goals

Metric Sur Ibri
HATHAT
GF total5712448
GF avg1.31.41.30.81.00.9
GA total6152111819
GA avg1.53.02.32.22.02.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSurIbri
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%89%67%78%
1.544%78%22%67%
2.511%56%0%44%
3.511%11%0%22%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSurIbri
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score314303

Penalties

MetricSurIbri
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSurIbri
Wins11
Draws11
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-1——0-1
Biggest losses0-34-20-34-1
Goals For5221
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricSurIbri
Form50%50%
Att71%29%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total55.8%44.2%

Advice: Double chance : Sur or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away3.80 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Betfair
No1.78 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sur = 2.06 (league 1.26), Ibri = 1.21 (league 1.24)

Ibri
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sur 0 3.8% 4.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.8% 9.5% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.8% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.5% 6.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.1% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 21.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1