Wed, Jan 14 2026 • 20:45 • Estádio do Dragão
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.68) 0.68 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.5% 50.0% 47.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
48.3%
0 - 1
32.7%
0 - 2
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Porto 0 48.3% 32.7% 11.1% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 2.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC PortoBenfica
Played33
Form100%100%
Attack61%33%
Defense94%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 3.76 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.30 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Porto Benfica
HATHAT
Played213033
Wins100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%

Form: FC Porto: WWW • Benfica: WWW

League goals

Metric FC Porto Benfica
HATHAT
GF total7411066
GF avg3.54.03.70.02.02.0
GA total101000
GA avg0.50.00.30.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC PortoBenfica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%100%0%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.5100%0%0%0%
3.567%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC PortoBenfica
HATHAT
Clean sheets112033
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFC PortoBenfica
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFC PortoBenfica
Wins33
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-40-2
Biggest losses
Goals For4402
Goals Against1000

Model comparison

MetricFC PortoBenfica
Form50%50%
Att65%35%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Benfica

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ Dafabet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away4.55 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.77 @ Betano
Under 2.51.53 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Pinnacle
No1.77 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Porto = 0.05 (league 1.68), Benfica = 0.68 (league 1.48)

Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Porto 0 48.3% 32.7% 11.1% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 2.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.5% · Draw 50.0% · Away win 47.5%

vtt 5 , vtd1