Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 23:00 • Estadio Akron
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.96 (league 1.62) 2.27 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.2% 17.1% 27.1%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.1%
3 - 2
6.0%
2 - 1
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
Venados FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tapatío 0 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
1 1.6% 3.6% 4.1% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8%
2 2.4% 5.3% 6.1% 4.6% 2.6% 1.2%
3 2.3% 5.3% 6.0% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2%
4 1.7% 3.9% 4.4% 3.3% 1.9% 0.9%
5 1.0% 2.3% 2.6% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTapatíoVenados FC
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack50%56%
Defense56%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tapatío Venados FC
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%13%27%50%29%40%
Draws14%38%27%38%0%20%
Loses43%50%47%13%71%40%

Form: Tapatío: WWLDWLLDLLDLLWD • Venados FC: LLLDWDLWWWLDLWW

League goals

Metric Tapatío Venados FC
HATHAT
GF total14822211233
GF avg2.01.01.52.61.72.2
GA total101020141731
GA avg1.41.31.31.82.42.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTapatíoVenados FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%80%73%93%
1.547%40%47%53%
2.520%13%40%47%
3.57%0%33%13%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTapatíoVenados FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score134044

Penalties

MetricTapatíoVenados FC
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricTapatíoVenados FC
Wins23
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-35-13-6
Biggest losses1-32-11-34-1
Goals For4356
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricTapatíoVenados FC
Form42%58%
Att47%53%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total44.3%55.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Tapatío or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ 10Bet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.03 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.35 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tapatío = 2.96 (league 1.62), Venados FC = 2.27 (league 1.05)

Venados FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tapatío 0 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
1 1.6% 3.6% 4.1% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8%
2 2.4% 5.3% 6.1% 4.6% 2.6% 1.2%
3 2.3% 5.3% 6.0% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2%
4 1.7% 3.9% 4.4% 3.3% 1.9% 0.9%
5 1.0% 2.3% 2.6% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.2% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 27.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1