Sat, Jan 31 2026 • 03:00 •
Estadio Dorados
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.58)
1.54 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.6% | 25.4% | 60.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.7%
0 - 2
14.4%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Tepatitlán | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dorados | 0 | 12.2% | 18.7% | 14.4% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dorados | Tepatitlán |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 64% | 29% |
| Defense | 7% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dorados | Tepatitlán | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 12% | 36% | 30% | 33% |
| Draws | 25% | 11% | 18% | 27% | 50% | 38% |
| Loses | 50% | 89% | 71% | 36% | 20% | 29% |
DoradosLLWLLLLLLLDLDLLWD
TepatitlánDDWWWDDLDWLLDLWDLLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Dorados | Tepatitlán | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 9 | 25 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dorados | Tepatitlán | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 88% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 59% | 29% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 41% | 24% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 12% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dorados | Tepatitlán | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dorados | Tepatitlán |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dorados | Tepatitlán |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dorados | Tepatitlán |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 19% | 81% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 35.8% | 64.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.20 @ 10Bet
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away2.36 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.03 @ SBO
Under 2.51.90 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.29 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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