Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Morelos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.60) 0.90 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.7% 30.6% 29.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.9%
0 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Cancún
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monarcas 0 13.5% 12.2% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.9% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.4% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonarcasCancún
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack100%75%
Defense75%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monarcas Cancún
HATHAT
Played10102010919
Wins50%30%40%60%44%53%
Draws30%40%35%30%22%26%
Loses20%30%25%10%33%21%

Form: Monarcas: DWLWDWLLLDWLWDWDDDWW • Cancún: WWWWDWLWWDWWDLLDWLD

League goals

Metric Monarcas Cancún
HATHAT
GF total161430201131
GF avg1.61.41.52.01.21.6
GA total8162441014
GA avg0.81.61.20.41.10.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonarcasCancún
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%60%79%53%
1.550%30%32%16%
2.530%20%26%5%
3.50%5%16%0%
4.50%5%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonarcasCancún
HATHAT
Clean sheets538639
Failed to score426224

Penalties

MetricMonarcasCancún
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricMonarcasCancún
Wins14
Draws31
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-02-4
Biggest losses0-25-00-13-1
Goals For3354
Goals Against3513

Model comparison

MetricMonarcasCancún
Form64%36%
Att57%43%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals39%61%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Monarcas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ 188Bet
Draw3.99 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 1xBet
No1.90 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monarcas = 1.10 (league 1.60), Cancún = 0.90 (league 1.06)

Cancún
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monarcas 0 13.5% 12.2% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.9% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.4% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.7% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 29.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1