Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 01:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.59)
0.89 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.7% | 29.2% | 26.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Irapuato | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tepatitlán | 0 | 12.0% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.7% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tepatitlán | Irapuato |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 60% |
| Attack | 33% | 80% |
| Defense | 93% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tepatitlán | Irapuato | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 42% | 25% | 33% | 50% | 23% | 36% |
| Draws | 25% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 38% | 40% |
| Loses | 33% | 17% | 25% | 8% | 38% | 24% |
TepatitlánDDWWWDDLDWLLDLWDLLDWWDWD
IrapuatoWLWLDWDWWDLDWDDDDDDLLWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Tepatitlán | Irapuato | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 14 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 11 | 20 | 31 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tepatitlán | Irapuato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 72% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 17% | 44% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 4% | 20% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 16% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tepatitlán | Irapuato | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tepatitlán | Irapuato |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tepatitlán | Irapuato |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tepatitlán | Irapuato |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 88% | 13% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 56.4% | 43.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away3.51 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.83 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.06 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…