Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 03:00 • Estadio Guaycura
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.60) 1.88 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.9% 20.1% 32.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.7%
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Leones Negros UDG
0 1 2 3 4 5
CA La Paz 0 1.6% 3.1% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
1 3.7% 6.9% 6.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.1% 7.7% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.0% 5.7% 5.4% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.7% 3.2% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCA La PazLeones Negros UDG
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack55%27%
Defense73%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CA La Paz Leones Negros UDG
HATHAT
Played91120121123
Wins33%27%30%42%27%35%
Draws33%45%40%42%9%26%
Loses33%27%30%17%64%39%

Form: CA La Paz: LDLDWWWDLDLDWLDWDWDL • Leones Negros UDG: LWWDDDLLWLLWWWWLWLDLLDD

League goals

Metric CA La Paz Leones Negros UDG
HATHAT
GF total151833181129
GF avg1.71.61.71.51.01.3
GA total181735112334
GA avg2.01.51.80.92.11.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCA La PazLeones Negros UDG
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%75%70%74%
1.555%55%35%39%
2.530%25%13%17%
3.50%10%9%13%
4.50%5%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCA La PazLeones Negros UDG
HATHAT
Clean sheets235516
Failed to score134347

Penalties

MetricCA La PazLeones Negros UDG
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricCA La PazLeones Negros UDG
Wins34
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-12-3
Biggest losses0-62-02-35-2
Goals For3343
Goals Against6335

Model comparison

MetricCA La PazLeones Negros UDG
Form73%27%
Att67%33%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Double chance : CA La Paz or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ 10Bet
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away2.97 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ William Hill
No2.45 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CA La Paz = 2.23 (league 1.60), Leones Negros UDG = 1.88 (league 1.06)

Leones Negros UDG
0 1 2 3 4 5
CA La Paz 0 1.6% 3.1% 2.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3%
1 3.7% 6.9% 6.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.1% 7.7% 7.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.0% 5.7% 5.4% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6%
4 1.7% 3.2% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.8% 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 32.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1