Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Morelos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.62) 1.38 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 24.9% 35.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
CA La Paz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monarcas 0 5.7% 7.9% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.5% 11.7% 8.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 8.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.3% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonarcasCA La Paz
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack41%47%
Defense82%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monarcas CA La Paz
HATHAT
Played12122491019
Wins50%33%42%33%30%32%
Draws25%42%33%33%50%42%
Loses25%25%25%33%20%26%

Form: Monarcas: DWLWDWLLLDWLWDWDDDWWLDWW • CA La Paz: LDLDWWWDLDLDWLDWDWD

League goals

Metric Monarcas CA La Paz
HATHAT
GF total181634151833
GF avg1.51.31.41.71.81.7
GA total101727181634
GA avg0.81.41.12.01.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonarcasCA La Paz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%63%84%74%
1.546%25%58%58%
2.525%17%32%26%
3.50%4%0%11%
4.50%4%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonarcasCA La Paz
HATHAT
Clean sheets549235
Failed to score527123

Penalties

MetricMonarcasCA La Paz
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricMonarcasCA La Paz
Wins23
Draws31
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-25-00-62-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against3563

Model comparison

MetricMonarcasCA La Paz
Form53%47%
Att47%53%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total57.3%42.7%

Advice: Double chance : Monarcas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Bet365
Draw4.25 @ 188Bet
Away4.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monarcas = 1.48 (league 1.62), CA La Paz = 1.38 (league 1.04)

CA La Paz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monarcas 0 5.7% 7.9% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.5% 11.7% 8.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 8.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.3% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 35.0%

vtt 2 , vtd1