Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 18:00 • Estadio Jalisco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.63) 1.88 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.0% 21.9% 60.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.5%
0 - 2
11.8%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Atlante FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leones Negros UDG 0 6.7% 12.5% 11.8% 7.4% 3.5% 1.3%
1 5.5% 10.4% 9.8% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 2.3% 4.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeones Negros UDGAtlante FC
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack20%53%
Defense27%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leones Negros UDG Atlante FC
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins45%27%36%55%45%50%
Draws36%9%23%27%27%27%
Loses18%64%41%18%27%23%

Form: Leones Negros UDG: LWWDDDLLWLLWWWWLWLDLLD • Atlante FC: DLWLWWWWWDWWDWLDDLLDWW

League goals

Metric Leones Negros UDG Atlante FC
HATHAT
GF total171128212445
GF avg1.51.01.31.92.22.0
GA total10233381018
GA avg0.92.11.50.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeones Negros UDGAtlante FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%73%82%55%
1.536%41%45%14%
2.514%18%36%14%
3.59%14%23%0%
4.50%5%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeones Negros UDGAtlante FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets5165510
Failed to score347134

Penalties

MetricLeones Negros UDGAtlante FC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricLeones Negros UDGAtlante FC
Wins45
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-35-10-6
Biggest losses2-35-21-33-0
Goals For4356
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricLeones Negros UDGAtlante FC
Form22%78%
Att27%73%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h7%93%
Goals33%67%
Total25.7%74.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atlante FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.95 @ 188Bet
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away2.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ SBO
Under 2.51.97 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leones Negros UDG = 0.83 (league 1.63), Atlante FC = 1.88 (league 1.05)

Atlante FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leones Negros UDG 0 6.7% 12.5% 11.8% 7.4% 3.5% 1.3%
1 5.5% 10.4% 9.8% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 2.3% 4.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.0% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 60.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1