Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 03:00 • Estadio Dorados
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.62) 0.95 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.4% 30.4% 31.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Leones Negros UDG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dorados 0 13.0% 12.4% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.7% 7.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDoradosLeones Negros UDG
Played55
Form7%13%
Attack22%17%
Defense28%39%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dorados Leones Negros UDG
HATHAT
Played111223121224
Wins18%0%9%42%25%33%
Draws36%8%22%42%8%25%
Loses45%92%70%17%67%42%

Form: Dorados: LLWLLLLLLLDLDLLWDDDLLLL • Leones Negros UDG: LWWDDDLLWLLWWWWLWLDLLDDL

League goals

Metric Dorados Leones Negros UDG
HATHAT
GF total91019181129
GF avg0.80.80.81.50.91.2
GA total123547112637
GA avg1.12.92.00.92.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDoradosLeones Negros UDG
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%87%67%75%
1.522%61%33%42%
2.54%39%13%21%
3.54%13%8%13%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDoradosLeones Negros UDG
HATHAT
Clean sheets303516
Failed to score5611358

Penalties

MetricDoradosLeones Negros UDG
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricDoradosLeones Negros UDG
Wins14
Draws33
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—4-12-3
Biggest losses2-35-02-35-2
Goals For2443
Goals Against3535

Model comparison

MetricDoradosLeones Negros UDG
Form33%67%
Att57%43%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h0%100%
Goals7%93%
Total39.6%60.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leones Negros UDG

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ William Hill
No2.20 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dorados = 1.09 (league 1.62), Leones Negros UDG = 0.95 (league 1.04)

Leones Negros UDG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dorados 0 13.0% 12.4% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.2% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.7% 7.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.4% · Draw 30.4% · Away win 31.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1