Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 01:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.62) 1.55 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.3% 23.2% 35.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Leones Negros UDG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0 3.9% 6.1% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.6% 10.3% 8.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.6% 6.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.1% 4.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlebrijes de OaxacaLeones Negros UDG
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack69%23%
Defense0%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)16 | 3.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alebrijes de Oaxaca Leones Negros UDG
HATHAT
Played121224131326
Wins25%25%25%38%23%31%
Draws33%25%29%38%15%27%
Loses42%50%46%23%62%42%

Form: Alebrijes de Oaxaca: LLDLLLWLWDWDLDLDWDDLWLWL • Leones Negros UDG: LWWDDDLLWLLWWWWLWLDLLDDLDL

League goals

Metric Alebrijes de Oaxaca Leones Negros UDG
HATHAT
GF total161531191231
GF avg1.31.31.31.50.91.2
GA total222648142741
GA avg1.82.22.01.12.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlebrijes de OaxacaLeones Negros UDG
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%83%69%77%
1.533%54%31%42%
2.517%38%12%23%
3.58%13%8%12%
4.50%8%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlebrijes de OaxacaLeones Negros UDG
HATHAT
Clean sheets224516
Failed to score527358

Penalties

MetricAlebrijes de OaxacaLeones Negros UDG
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricAlebrijes de OaxacaLeones Negros UDG
Wins14
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-12-3
Biggest losses0-36-21-35-2
Goals For4343
Goals Against5635

Model comparison

MetricAlebrijes de OaxacaLeones Negros UDG
Form67%33%
Att75%25%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h29%71%
Goals28%72%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leones Negros UDG

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Dafabet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.15 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.21 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 188Bet
No2.50 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alebrijes de Oaxaca = 1.68 (league 1.62), Leones Negros UDG = 1.55 (league 1.04)

Leones Negros UDG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0 3.9% 6.1% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.6% 10.3% 8.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.6% 8.6% 6.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.1% 4.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.3% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 35.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1