Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 01:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.59)
1.60 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.1% | 22.9% | 35.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Leones Negros UDG | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 0 | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Leones Negros UDG |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 20% |
| Attack | 69% | 23% |
| Defense | 0% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Leones Negros UDG | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 25% | 25% | 25% | 38% | 23% | 31% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 38% | 15% | 27% |
| Loses | 42% | 50% | 46% | 23% | 62% | 42% |
Alebrijes de OaxacaLLDLLLWLWDWDLDLDWDDLWLWL
Leones Negros UDGLWWDDDLLWLLWWWWLWLDLLDDLDL
League goals
| Metric | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Leones Negros UDG | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 15 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 22 | 26 | 48 | 14 | 27 | 41 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Leones Negros UDG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 83% | 69% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 54% | 31% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 38% | 12% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 13% | 8% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Leones Negros UDG | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Leones Negros UDG |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Leones Negros UDG |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 6-2 | 1-3 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Leones Negros UDG |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 28% | 72% |
| Total | 47.5% | 52.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.55 @ Dafabet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.15 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.21 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.70 @ 188Bet
No2.50 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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