Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Morelos
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.62) 0.86 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.8% 25.2% 20.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Irapuato
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monarcas 0 8.7% 7.5% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.7% 11.8% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.4% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonarcasIrapuato
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack54%77%
Defense54%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monarcas Irapuato
HATHAT
Played141428151530
Wins57%29%43%47%20%33%
Draws21%36%29%40%33%37%
Loses21%36%29%13%47%30%

Form: Monarcas: DWLWDWLLLDWLWDWDDDWWLDWWWLWL • Irapuato: WLWLDWDWWDLDWDDDDDDLLWLWWLLWLD

League goals

Metric Monarcas Irapuato
HATHAT
GF total221840341549
GF avg1.61.31.42.31.01.6
GA total122133202444
GA avg0.91.51.21.31.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonarcasIrapuato
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%64%73%70%
1.543%32%43%43%
2.525%14%20%17%
3.50%4%17%13%
4.50%4%7%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonarcasIrapuato
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410459
Failed to score527448

Penalties

MetricMonarcasIrapuato
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total64

Streaks

MetricMonarcasIrapuato
Wins32
Draws36
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-00-2
Biggest losses0-25-00-54-0
Goals For3362
Goals Against3554

Model comparison

MetricMonarcasIrapuato
Form69%31%
Att41%59%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h71%29%
Goals80%20%
Total66.0%34.0%

Advice: Double chance : Monarcas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ 188Bet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.97 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 188Bet
No2.14 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monarcas = 1.58 (league 1.62), Irapuato = 0.86 (league 1.04)

Irapuato
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monarcas 0 8.7% 7.5% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.7% 11.8% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.4% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.8% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 20.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1