Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 23:00 • Estadio Tlahuicole
Not Started
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Expected Goals
2.59 (league 1.62) 0.84 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.0% 15.2% 9.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.8%
3 - 0
9.3%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Dorados
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tlaxcala 0 3.2% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.4% 7.1% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.8% 9.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.3% 7.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.0% 5.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTlaxcalaDorados
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack14%36%
Defense79%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tlaxcala Dorados
HATHAT
Played121224131326
Wins50%8%29%23%0%12%
Draws33%33%33%38%8%23%
Loses17%58%38%38%92%65%

Form: Tlaxcala: DLLLDWWWDLDDLLLWWLWDWLDD • Dorados: LLWLLLLLLLDLDLLWDDDLLLLDLW

League goals

Metric Tlaxcala Dorados
HATHAT
GF total18826121022
GF avg1.50.71.10.90.80.8
GA total132639143751
GA avg1.12.21.61.12.82.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTlaxcalaDorados
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%79%54%88%
1.525%46%23%58%
2.58%25%4%35%
3.54%8%4%12%
4.54%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTlaxcalaDorados
HATHAT
Clean sheets325303
Failed to score2685712

Penalties

MetricTlaxcalaDorados
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricTlaxcalaDorados
Wins31
Draws23
Losses37

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-22-1—
Biggest losses0-25-12-35-0
Goals For5224
Goals Against3535

Model comparison

MetricTlaxcalaDorados
Form60%40%
Att29%71%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : Tlaxcala or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Bet365
Draw4.37 @ Pinnacle
Away6.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.25 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Superbet
No2.15 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tlaxcala = 2.59 (league 1.62), Dorados = 0.84 (league 1.04)

Dorados
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tlaxcala 0 3.2% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.4% 7.1% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.8% 9.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.3% 7.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.0% 5.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.0% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 9.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1