Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Jalisco
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.62) 1.37 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.3% 25.5% 36.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
8.8%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Monarcas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leones Negros UDG 0 6.3% 8.7% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.8% 12.1% 8.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.8% 3.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeones Negros UDGMonarcas
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack29%57%
Defense36%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leones Negros UDG Monarcas
HATHAT
Played131427151429
Wins38%21%30%60%29%45%
Draws38%21%30%20%36%28%
Loses23%57%41%20%36%28%

Form: Leones Negros UDG: LWWDDDLLWLLWWWWLWLDLLDDLDLD • Monarcas: DWLWDWLLLDWLWDWDDDWWLDWWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Leones Negros UDG Monarcas
HATHAT
GF total191332241842
GF avg1.50.91.21.61.31.4
GA total142842122133
GA avg1.12.01.60.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeones Negros UDGMonarcas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%78%76%62%
1.530%41%45%31%
2.511%22%24%14%
3.57%11%0%3%
4.50%4%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeones Negros UDGMonarcas
HATHAT
Clean sheets5167411
Failed to score358527

Penalties

MetricLeones Negros UDGMonarcas
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricLeones Negros UDGMonarcas
Wins43
Draws33
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-33-00-3
Biggest losses1-35-20-25-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against3535

Model comparison

MetricLeones Negros UDGMonarcas
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h80%20%
Goals64%36%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Monarcas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.39 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away3.45 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 1xBet
No2.32 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leones Negros UDG = 1.39 (league 1.62), Monarcas = 1.37 (league 1.04)

Monarcas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leones Negros UDG 0 6.3% 8.7% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.8% 12.1% 8.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.8% 3.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.3% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 36.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1