Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero
Not Started
Expected Goals
3.21 (league 1.62) 1.57 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.1% 14.5% 15.2%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.3%
2 - 1
6.8%
4 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Leones Negros UDG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Venados FC 0 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.7% 4.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 4.3% 6.8% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.6% 7.3% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.7% 5.8% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
5 2.4% 3.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVenados FCLeones Negros UDG
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack38%38%
Defense46%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Venados FC Leones Negros UDG
HATHAT
Played131326141428
Wins46%15%31%43%21%32%
Draws38%8%23%36%21%29%
Loses15%77%46%21%57%39%

Form: Venados FC: LLLDWDLWWWLDLWWLDLDWLLLLWD • Leones Negros UDG: LWWDDDLLWLLWWWWLWLDLLDDLDLDW

League goals

Metric Venados FC Leones Negros UDG
HATHAT
GF total341650211334
GF avg2.61.21.91.50.91.2
GA total232952142842
GA avg1.82.22.01.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVenados FCLeones Negros UDG
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%92%71%75%
1.546%54%32%39%
2.535%38%11%21%
3.527%15%7%11%
4.512%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVenados FCLeones Negros UDG
HATHAT
Clean sheets202617
Failed to score178358

Penalties

MetricVenados FCLeones Negros UDG
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricVenados FCLeones Negros UDG
Wins34
Draws13
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-13-64-12-3
Biggest losses1-34-11-35-2
Goals For5643
Goals Against4435

Model comparison

MetricVenados FCLeones Negros UDG
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leones Negros UDG

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.22 @ 10Bet
Draw3.80 @ 10Bet
Away3.20 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.43 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ Betano
No2.66 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Venados FC = 3.21 (league 1.62), Leones Negros UDG = 1.57 (league 1.03)

Leones Negros UDG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Venados FC 0 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.7% 4.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 4.3% 6.8% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.6% 7.3% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.7% 5.8% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
5 2.4% 3.7% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.1% · Draw 14.5% · Away win 15.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1