Wed, Feb 11 2026 • 20:00 •
Stade Charlety
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.84)
0.95 (league 1.58)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.0% | 34.2% | 39.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.1%
0 - 1
18.1%
1 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Real Madrid W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paris FC W | 0 | 19.1% | 18.1% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paris FC W | Real Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 22% | 39% |
| Defense | 61% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paris FC W | Real Madrid W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 50% | 38% | 75% | 50% | 63% |
| Draws | 50% | 25% | 38% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
Paris FC WDWDLDWWL
Real Madrid WWWWWDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Paris FC W | Real Madrid W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paris FC W | Real Madrid W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 38% | 63% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paris FC W | Real Madrid W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paris FC W | Real Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paris FC W | Real Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 6-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paris FC W | Real Madrid W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 53.7% | 46.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home5.28 @ 1xBet
Draw3.90 @ 10Bet
Away1.68 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.75 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.04 @ Unibet
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League standings
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