Thu, Feb 19 2026 • 20:00 • Progress With Unity Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.82) 1.26 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.0% 26.7% 35.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
10.0%
0 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United W 0 7.8% 9.9% 6.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.7% 8.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.8% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester United WAtletico Madrid W
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack44%39%
Defense50%39%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester United W Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Played6511549
Wins83%60%73%20%50%33%
Draws0%0%0%20%25%22%
Loses17%40%27%60%25%44%

Form: Manchester United W: WWLWWWWLLWW • Atletico Madrid W: DWWLLWDLL

League goals

Metric Manchester United W Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
GF total1171851116
GF avg1.81.41.61.02.81.8
GA total46109514
GA avg0.71.20.91.81.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester United WAtletico Madrid W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%36%67%78%
1.545%18%44%44%
2.527%18%22%22%
3.59%9%22%11%
4.50%9%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester United WAtletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Clean sheets437022
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricManchester United WAtletico Madrid W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricManchester United WAtletico Madrid W
Wins42
Draws01
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-10-6
Biggest losses0-35-20-34-0
Goals For4326
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricManchester United WAtletico Madrid W
Form69%31%
Att53%47%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester United W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ Unibet
Draw4.70 @ Pinnacle
Away5.58 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester United W = 1.29 (league 1.82), Atletico Madrid W = 1.26 (league 1.55)

Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United W 0 7.8% 9.9% 6.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.7% 8.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.8% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.0% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 35.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1