Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 17:00 • Letzigrund
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.84) 2.09 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.5% 21.0% 48.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.8%
1 - 1
8.4%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
FC Luzern
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Zurich 0 2.6% 5.4% 5.6% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9%
1 4.0% 8.4% 8.8% 6.2% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.6% 6.9% 4.8% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.6% 3.5% 3.6% 2.5% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC ZurichFC Luzern
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack50%56%
Defense38%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Zurich FC Luzern
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins42%25%33%17%33%25%
Draws8%25%17%42%33%38%
Loses50%50%50%42%33%38%

Form: FC Zurich: LDWLWWWLLLLLWDWWDLLDLLLW • FC Luzern: WDLWDLWDDDLWLDLLLLWLDDDW

League goals

Metric FC Zurich FC Luzern
HATHAT
GF total221436261844
GF avg1.81.21.52.21.51.8
GA total232245271946
GA avg1.91.81.92.31.61.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC ZurichFC Luzern
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%92%88%83%
1.554%54%54%71%
2.521%29%21%25%
3.50%13%13%8%
4.50%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC ZurichFC Luzern
HATHAT
Clean sheets202134
Failed to score246033

Penalties

MetricFC ZurichFC Luzern
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricFC ZurichFC Luzern
Wins31
Draws13
Losses54

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-36-00-4
Biggest losses0-43-02-54-1
Goals For3364
Goals Against4454

Model comparison

MetricFC ZurichFC Luzern
Form40%60%
Att47%53%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : FC Zurich or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Unibet
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away2.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.49 @ Unibet
No2.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Zurich = 1.57 (league 1.84), FC Luzern = 2.09 (league 1.36)

FC Luzern
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Zurich 0 2.6% 5.4% 5.6% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9%
1 4.0% 8.4% 8.8% 6.2% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.6% 6.9% 4.8% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.6% 3.5% 3.6% 2.5% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.5% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 48.0%

vtt 4 , vtd1