Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 19:30 • Stadion Wankdorf
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.71 (league 1.84) 0.82 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.7% 7.9% 4.3%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.1%
4 - 0
8.5%
3 - 1
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
FC Winterthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
BSC Young Boys 0 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.4% 6.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.1% 7.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.5% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 6.3% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBSC Young BoysFC Winterthur
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack44%25%
Defense38%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric BSC Young Boys FC Winterthur
HATHAT
Played111324111223
Wins55%23%38%18%8%13%
Draws18%31%25%27%17%22%
Loses27%46%38%55%75%65%

Form: BSC Young Boys: WDLDWWWLLWDDWWDLWLLLLWDL • FC Winterthur: LDLDLLLLLDLWLLWLDLLLWDL

League goals

Metric BSC Young Boys FC Winterthur
HATHAT
GF total242145171027
GF avg2.21.61.91.50.81.2
GA total153348243761
GA avg1.42.52.02.23.12.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBSC Young BoysFC Winterthur
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%65%100%
1.550%54%39%78%
2.538%33%9%52%
3.517%21%4%26%
4.54%8%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBSC Young BoysFC Winterthur
HATHAT
Clean sheets505000
Failed to score235178

Penalties

MetricBSC Young BoysFC Winterthur
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricBSC Young BoysFC Winterthur
Wins31
Draws21
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-44-21-3
Biggest losses2-65-01-45-0
Goals For5443
Goals Against6545

Model comparison

MetricBSC Young BoysFC Winterthur
Form50%50%
Att64%36%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h62%38%
Goals77%23%
Total64.7%35.3%

Advice: Winner : BSC Young Boys

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ 1xBet
Draw5.83 @ Pinnacle
Away8.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.13 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.33 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): BSC Young Boys = 3.71 (league 1.84), FC Winterthur = 0.82 (league 1.36)

FC Winterthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
BSC Young Boys 0 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.4% 6.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.1% 7.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.5% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 6.3% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.7% · Draw 7.9% · Away win 4.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1