Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 18:00 • Stadion Schützenwiese
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.84) 4.07 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.7% 6.7% 66.8%
best score tips
0 - 4
8.0%
0 - 3
7.8%
1 - 4
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
FC Thun
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Winterthur 0 0.7% 2.8% 5.7% 7.8% 8.0% 6.5%
1 0.6% 2.5% 5.2% 7.0% 7.1% 5.8%
2 0.3% 1.1% 2.3% 3.1% 3.2% 2.6%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC WinterthurFC Thun
Played55
Form27%100%
Attack28%83%
Defense11%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 115 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)16 | 3.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Winterthur FC Thun
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins17%8%12%69%83%76%
Draws25%15%20%8%0%4%
Loses58%77%68%23%17%20%

Form: FC Winterthur: LDLDLLLLLDLWLLWLDLLLWDLLL • FC Thun: WWWWDLLWWWWWWLLWLWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric FC Winterthur FC Thun
HATHAT
GF total181129302757
GF avg1.50.81.22.32.32.3
GA total294372151328
GA avg2.43.32.91.21.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC WinterthurFC Thun
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%100%92%80%
1.536%80%68%20%
2.58%56%40%8%
3.54%32%24%4%
4.50%16%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC WinterthurFC Thun
HATHAT
Clean sheets000235
Failed to score178202

Penalties

MetricFC WinterthurFC Thun
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricFC WinterthurFC Thun
Wins16
Draws11
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-35-10-4
Biggest losses1-56-11-34-2
Goals For4354
Goals Against5634

Model comparison

MetricFC WinterthurFC Thun
Form21%79%
Att25%75%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h29%71%
Goals37%63%
Total25.3%74.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : FC Thun and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.25 @ Marathonbet
Draw5.12 @ Pinnacle
Away1.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ 1xBet
No2.38 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Winterthur = 0.90 (league 1.84), FC Thun = 4.07 (league 1.35)

FC Thun
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Winterthur 0 0.7% 2.8% 5.7% 7.8% 8.0% 6.5%
1 0.6% 2.5% 5.2% 7.0% 7.1% 5.8%
2 0.3% 1.1% 2.3% 3.1% 3.2% 2.6%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.7% · Draw 6.7% · Away win 66.8%

vtt 6 , vtd1