Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio di Cornaredo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.84) 1.21 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.4% 24.4% 28.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
FC Sion
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Lugano 0 5.8% 7.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.5% 11.5% 7.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.4% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC LuganoFC Sion
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack56%56%
Defense44%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Lugano FC Sion
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins62%36%48%50%23%37%
Draws23%29%26%29%54%41%
Loses15%36%26%21%23%22%

Form: FC Lugano: LLWLLDWWWLWWWLDDWWWWWDDDDWL • FC Sion: WWDLWLDDWLWLDDDWWLWDDDDWLWD

League goals

Metric FC Lugano FC Sion
HATHAT
GF total261743201939
GF avg2.01.21.61.41.51.4
GA total141832102030
GA avg1.11.31.20.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC LuganoFC Sion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%74%70%63%
1.533%30%44%37%
2.522%11%26%11%
3.515%4%4%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC LuganoFC Sion
HATHAT
Clean sheets3477310
Failed to score044538

Penalties

MetricFC LuganoFC Sion
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricFC LuganoFC Sion
Wins52
Draws44
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-54-02-3
Biggest losses1-34-00-23-1
Goals For4543
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricFC LuganoFC Sion
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h38%62%
Goals36%64%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Sion

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.58 @ Pinnacle
Away3.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ SBO
Under 2.51.96 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Lugano = 1.63 (league 1.84), FC Sion = 1.21 (league 1.36)

FC Sion
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Lugano 0 5.8% 7.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.5% 11.5% 7.0% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.4% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.4% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 28.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1