Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 19:30 • Swissporarena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.23 (league 1.85) 2.61 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.2% 16.2% 27.3%
best score tips
3 - 2
5.6%
2 - 2
5.2%
3 - 3
4.8%
Score & goals probability table
BSC Young Boys
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Luzern 0 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
1 0.9% 2.4% 3.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9%
2 1.5% 4.0% 5.2% 4.5% 2.9% 1.5%
3 1.6% 4.3% 5.6% 4.8% 3.2% 1.6%
4 1.3% 3.4% 4.5% 3.9% 2.6% 1.3%
5 0.9% 2.2% 2.9% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC LuzernBSC Young Boys
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack100%100%
Defense11%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Luzern BSC Young Boys
HATHAT
Played131427131427
Wins23%36%30%62%21%41%
Draws38%29%33%15%29%22%
Loses38%36%37%23%50%37%

Form: FC Luzern: WDLWDLWDDDLWLDLLLLWLDDDWWWL • BSC Young Boys: WDLDWWWLLWDDWWDLWLLLLWDLWLW

League goals

Metric FC Luzern BSC Young Boys
HATHAT
GF total302353332255
GF avg2.31.62.02.51.62.0
GA total292251163652
GA avg2.21.61.91.22.61.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC LuzernBSC Young Boys
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%85%81%78%
1.556%70%52%52%
2.526%22%41%33%
3.519%7%19%19%
4.54%4%7%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC LuzernBSC Young Boys
HATHAT
Clean sheets134606
Failed to score033235

Penalties

MetricFC LuzernBSC Young Boys
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricFC LuzernBSC Young Boys
Wins33
Draws32
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-46-11-4
Biggest losses2-54-12-65-0
Goals For6464
Goals Against5465

Model comparison

MetricFC LuzernBSC Young Boys
Form59%41%
Att52%48%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h29%71%
Goals53%47%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : FC Luzern or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ 188Bet
Draw4.00 @ Pinnacle
Away3.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.06 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ Bet365
No3.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Luzern = 3.23 (league 1.85), BSC Young Boys = 2.61 (league 1.35)

BSC Young Boys
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Luzern 0 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
1 0.9% 2.4% 3.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9%
2 1.5% 4.0% 5.2% 4.5% 2.9% 1.5%
3 1.6% 4.3% 5.6% 4.8% 3.2% 1.6%
4 1.3% 3.4% 4.5% 3.9% 2.6% 1.3%
5 0.9% 2.2% 2.9% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.2% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 27.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1