Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 18:00 • Kybunpark
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.84) 0.97 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.1% 27.7% 27.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
FC Lugano
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC ST. Gallen 0 9.9% 9.6% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.3% 12.9% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.7% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC ST. GallenFC Lugano
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack72%33%
Defense72%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC ST. Gallen FC Lugano
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins60%50%55%60%36%48%
Draws7%36%21%20%29%24%
Loses33%14%24%20%36%28%

Form: FC ST. Gallen: WWWLWWLLWWLLWWDLWWWLDDWDWDWDW • FC Lugano: LLWLLDWWWLWWWLDDWWWWWDDDDWLWL

League goals

Metric FC ST. Gallen FC Lugano
HATHAT
GF total292958291746
GF avg1.92.12.01.91.21.6
GA total171835181836
GA avg1.11.31.21.21.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC ST. GallenFC Lugano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%72%86%76%
1.562%28%34%31%
2.524%14%21%14%
3.514%7%14%3%
4.510%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC ST. GallenFC Lugano
HATHAT
Clean sheets628347
Failed to score213044

Penalties

MetricFC ST. GallenFC Lugano
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total74

Streaks

MetricFC ST. GallenFC Lugano
Wins35
Draws24
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-54-12-5
Biggest losses1-43-11-34-0
Goals For5545
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricFC ST. GallenFC Lugano
Form61%39%
Att68%32%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total66.5%33.5%

Advice: Double chance : FC ST. Gallen or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ Unibet
Draw3.80 @ Pinnacle
Away3.65 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.40 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC ST. Gallen = 1.34 (league 1.84), FC Lugano = 0.97 (league 1.36)

FC Lugano
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC ST. Gallen 0 9.9% 9.6% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.3% 12.9% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.7% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 27.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1