Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 15:30 • Swissporarena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.69 (league 1.85) 1.47 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.0% 11.5% 10.4%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.1%
4 - 1
6.5%
2 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
FC Winterthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Luzern 0 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.9% 5.8% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.8% 7.1% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.4% 6.5% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
5 3.3% 4.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC LuzernFC Winterthur
Played55
Form60%13%
Attack68%21%
Defense58%37%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Luzern FC Winterthur
HATHAT
Played141529141529
Wins21%40%31%14%7%10%
Draws36%27%31%29%20%24%
Loses43%33%38%57%73%66%

Form: FC Luzern: WDLWDLWDDDLWLDLLLLWLDDDWWWLLW • FC Winterthur: LDLDLLLLLDLWLLWLDLLLWDLLLLLDD

League goals

Metric FC Luzern FC Winterthur
HATHAT
GF total312657191332
GF avg2.21.72.01.40.91.1
GA total312354334679
GA avg2.21.51.92.43.12.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC LuzernFC Winterthur
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%86%69%100%
1.555%69%31%76%
2.528%21%7%52%
3.517%7%3%28%
4.53%3%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC LuzernFC Winterthur
HATHAT
Clean sheets134000
Failed to score033279

Penalties

MetricFC LuzernFC Winterthur
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricFC LuzernFC Winterthur
Wins31
Draws31
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-44-21-3
Biggest losses2-54-11-56-1
Goals For6443
Goals Against5456

Model comparison

MetricFC LuzernFC Winterthur
Form82%18%
Att76%24%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total70.3%29.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : FC Luzern and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Superbet
Draw6.26 @ Pinnacle
Away8.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.34 @ Superbet
Under 2.53.69 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ 188Bet
No2.58 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Luzern = 3.69 (league 1.85), FC Winterthur = 1.47 (league 1.35)

FC Winterthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Luzern 0 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.9% 5.8% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.8% 7.1% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.4% 6.5% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
5 3.3% 4.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.0% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 10.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1