Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 18:30 • Stockhorn Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.85) 1.42 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.9% 20.3% 23.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 1
8.3%
3 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
FC Basel 1893
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Thun 0 2.7% 3.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.9% 8.3% 5.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.2% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.8% 6.8% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.6% 3.7% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC ThunFC Basel 1893
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack63%56%
Defense56%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Thun FC Basel 1893
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins69%75%72%44%50%47%
Draws13%0%6%38%13%25%
Loses19%25%22%19%38%28%

Form: FC Thun: WWWWDLLWWWWWWLLWLWWWWWWWWWWDWWLL • FC Basel 1893: LWWLWWLWWLWDLDDWDWDDWLWLDLWWLWWD

League goals

Metric FC Thun FC Basel 1893
HATHAT
GF total393372252550
GF avg2.42.12.31.61.61.6
GA total191736152742
GA avg1.21.11.10.91.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC ThunFC Basel 1893
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%81%81%72%
1.569%22%47%31%
2.538%6%22%19%
3.522%3%6%6%
4.56%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC ThunFC Basel 1893
HATHAT
Clean sheets246549
Failed to score213336

Penalties

MetricFC ThunFC Basel 1893
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total58

Streaks

MetricFC ThunFC Basel 1893
Wins102
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-44-10-3
Biggest losses1-34-21-25-1
Goals For5444
Goals Against3435

Model comparison

MetricFC ThunFC Basel 1893
Form41%59%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : FC Thun or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.96 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.41 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.42 @ Unibet
No2.91 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Thun = 2.21 (league 1.85), FC Basel 1893 = 1.42 (league 1.35)

FC Basel 1893
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Thun 0 2.7% 3.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 5.9% 8.3% 5.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.2% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.8% 6.8% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.6% 3.7% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.9% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 23.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1