Rosenborg vs Brann

Eliteserien — Norway

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:00 • Lerkendal Stadion

Not Started

Rosenborg

—

Brann

Expected Goals

1.30 (league 1.77) 3.32 (league 1.36)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
10.9%	12.7%	64.2%

best score tips

1 - 3

7.8%

1 - 2

7.1%

1 - 4

6.5%

Score & goals probability table

		Brann
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Rosenborg	0	1.0%	3.3%	5.4%	6.0%	5.0%	3.3%
	1	1.3%	4.3%	7.1%	7.8%	6.5%	4.3%
	2	0.8%	2.8%	4.6%	5.1%	4.2%	2.8%
	3	0.4%	1.2%	2.0%	2.2%	1.8%	1.2%
	4	0.1%	0.4%	0.6%	0.7%	0.6%	0.4%
	5	0.0%	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Rosenborg -15.4, Brann -22.9.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Rosenborg Elo 1533 · -15.4

Brann Elo 1581.5 · -22.9

Elo gapBrann +14

Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%

Expected home share48%

Combined Elo3114.5

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3114.5

Elo home share 48%

Match tone Strong Watch

Metric	Rosenborg	Brann
Overall Elo	1533	1581.5
Form Elo	1526.4	1562.6
Home / Away Elo	1539.1	1546.9
Attack Elo	1597.5	1715.3
Defense Elo	1572.9	1552.3
Last 5 Elo change	-15.4	-22.9

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Rosenborg last-5 Elo change: -15.4; Brann last-5 Elo change: -22.9.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Rosenborg	Brann
Played	5	5
Form	27%	20%
Attack	18%	91%
Defense	36%	9%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	10 \| 2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	10 \| 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

68%

FT probability

3.5+

49%

FT probability

BTTS

77%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Rosenborg			Brann
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	2	3	5	2	3	5
Wins	50%	0%	20%	0%	33%	20%
Draws	0%	33%	20%	0%	0%	0%
Loses	50%	67%	60%	100%	67%	80%

RosenborgLLLWD

BrannLLWLL

League goals

Metric	Rosenborg			Brann
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	2	0	2	1	9	10
GF avg	1.0	0.0	0.4	0.5	3.0	2.0
GA total	3	4	7	3	7	10
GA avg	1.5	1.3	1.4	1.5	2.3	2.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Rosenborg		Brann
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	20%	80%	80%	100%
1.5	20%	60%	60%	60%
2.5	0%	0%	20%	40%
3.5	0%	0%	20%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	20%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Rosenborg			Brann
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	1	1	0	0	0
Failed to score	1	3	4	1	0	1

Penalties

Metric	Rosenborg	Brann
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	1

Streaks

Metric	Rosenborg	Brann
Wins	1	1
Draws	0	0
Losses	3	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	—	—	1-5
Biggest losses	0-2	2-0	1-2	3-2
Goals For	2	0	1	5
Goals Against	2	2	2	3

Model comparison

Metric	Rosenborg	Brann
Form	57%	43%
Att	17%	83%
Def	59%	41%
Poisson Distribution	27%	73%
H2h	7%	93%
Goals	23%	77%
Total	31.7%	68.3%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ 10Bet

Draw3.99 @ Pinnacle

Away2.24 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet

Under 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Betano

No2.30 @ William Hill

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Rosenborg vs Brann

Metric	Rosenborg	Brann
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	1