KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF

Eliteserien — Norway

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 • KFUM Arena

Not Started

KFUM Oslo

—

Sarpsborg 08 FF

Expected Goals

0.85 (league 1.77) 1.11 (league 1.36)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
27.8%	30.9%	41.2%

best score tips

0 - 1

15.7%

0 - 0

14.2%

1 - 1

13.3%

Score & goals probability table

		Sarpsborg 08 FF
		0	1	2	3	4	5
KFUM Oslo	0	14.2%	15.7%	8.7%	3.2%	0.9%	0.2%
	1	12.0%	13.3%	7.3%	2.7%	0.7%	0.2%
	2	5.1%	5.6%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
	3	1.4%	1.6%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: KFUM Oslo -18.7, Sarpsborg 08 FF -4.8.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

KFUM Oslo Elo 1525.5 · -18.7

Sarpsborg 08 FF Elo 1566.5 · -4.8

Elo gapSarpsborg 08 FF +6

Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%

Expected home share49%

Combined Elo3092

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3092

Elo home share 49%

Match tone Strong Watch

Metric	KFUM Oslo	Sarpsborg 08 FF
Overall Elo	1525.5	1566.5
Form Elo	1503.5	1556.1
Home / Away Elo	1518.5	1526.4
Attack Elo	1584.8	1655.3
Defense Elo	1534.3	1492
Last 5 Elo change	-18.7	-4.8

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. KFUM Oslo last-5 Elo change: -18.7; Sarpsborg 08 FF last-5 Elo change: -4.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	KFUM Oslo	Sarpsborg 08 FF
Played	5	5
Form	27%	33%
Attack	55%	45%
Defense	0%	55%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	11 \| 2.2	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%

FT probability

2.5+

52%

FT probability

3.5+

37%

FT probability

BTTS

72%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-1

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	KFUM Oslo			Sarpsborg 08 FF
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	2	3	5	3	2	5
Wins	50%	0%	20%	0%	50%	20%
Draws	0%	33%	20%	67%	0%	40%
Loses	50%	67%	60%	33%	50%	40%

KFUM OsloWLLDL

Sarpsborg 08 FFWDLDL

League goals

Metric	KFUM Oslo			Sarpsborg 08 FF
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	3	3	6	2	3	5
GF avg	1.5	1.0	1.2	0.7	1.5	1.0
GA total	2	9	11	3	2	5
GA avg	1.0	3.0	2.2	1.0	1.0	1.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	KFUM Oslo		Sarpsborg 08 FF
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	80%	80%	80%	80%
1.5	40%	80%	20%	20%
2.5	0%	40%	0%	0%
3.5	0%	20%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	KFUM Oslo			Sarpsborg 08 FF
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	0	1	0	1	1
Failed to score	0	1	1	1	0	1

Penalties

Metric	KFUM Oslo	Sarpsborg 08 FF
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	1

Streaks

Metric	KFUM Oslo	Sarpsborg 08 FF
Wins	1	1
Draws	1	1
Losses	2	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-0	—	—	0-2
Biggest losses	1-2	4-0	0-1	2-1
Goals For	2	2	1	2
Goals Against	2	4	1	2

Model comparison

Metric	KFUM Oslo	Sarpsborg 08 FF
Form	44%	56%
Att	55%	45%
Def	31%	69%
Poisson Distribution	41%	59%
H2h	29%	71%
Goals	43%	57%
Total	40.5%	59.5%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ 1xBet

Draw3.85 @ Pinnacle

Away3.05 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.52.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365

No2.55 @ Betfair

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • KFUM Oslo vs Sarpsborg 08 FF

Metric	KFUM Oslo	Sarpsborg 08 FF
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	1