Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 13:00 •
Gradski stadion
Expected Goals
3.86 (league 1.85)
0.16 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.1% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
best score tips
3 - 0
17.2%
4 - 0
16.7%
2 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nesebar | 0 | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 16.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 12.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nesebar | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 50% |
| Defense | 80% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nesebar | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 100% | 60% | 80% | 45% | 20% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 20% | 10% | 27% | 10% | 19% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 10% | 27% | 70% | 48% |
Form: Nesebar: LWWWWWWWWWWWLWWDWWWD • Lokomotiv Plovdiv II: WLLLDDLWWLWLLWLWLLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Nesebar | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 42 | 15 | 57 | 19 | 9 | 28 |
| GF avg | 4.2 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nesebar | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 50% | 67% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 5% | 29% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 45% | 0% | 19% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 14% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 15% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nesebar | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nesebar | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nesebar | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 11 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 9 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nesebar | Lokomotiv Plovdiv II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 96% | 4% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 74.0% | 26.0% |
Advice: Winner : Nesebar
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nesebar = 3.86 (league 1.85), Lokomotiv Plovdiv II = 0.16 (league 1.15)
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nesebar | 0 | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 16.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 12.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.1% · Draw 3.1% · Away win 0.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1