Neftochimic Burgas vs Spartak Plovdiv

Third League - Southeast — Bulgaria

Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:00 • efbet Arena

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Neftochimic Burgas

—

Spartak Plovdiv

Expected Goals

0.71 (league 1.86) 0.84 (league 1.15)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
28.4%	36.0%	35.6%

best score tips

0 - 0

21.3%

0 - 1

17.8%

1 - 0

15.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Spartak Plovdiv
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Neftochimic Burgas	0	21.3%	17.8%	7.4%	2.1%	0.4%	0.1%
	1	15.1%	12.7%	5.3%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	5.4%	4.5%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	1.3%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Neftochimic Burgas	Spartak Plovdiv
Played	5	5
Form	53%	53%
Attack	29%	67%
Defense	71%	48%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	14 \| 2.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	11 \| 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%

FT probability

2.5+

50%

FT probability

3.5+

35%

FT probability

BTTS

68%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Neftochimic Burgas			Spartak Plovdiv
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	10	12	22	11	10	21
Wins	30%	58%	45%	45%	30%	38%
Draws	50%	0%	23%	36%	40%	38%
Loses	20%	42%	32%	18%	30%	24%

Form: Neftochimic Burgas: WDLLLLWWWWWWWDLDLWDDLW • Spartak Plovdiv: DLDWDWLWDWDLWLWDDLWDW

League goals

Metric	Neftochimic Burgas			Spartak Plovdiv
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	11	18	29	25	12	37
GF avg	1.1	1.5	1.3	2.3	1.2	1.8
GA total	8	21	29	13	12	25
GA avg	0.8	1.8	1.3	1.2	1.2	1.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Neftochimic Burgas		Spartak Plovdiv
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	73%	77%	67%	71%
1.5	41%	32%	52%	43%
2.5	18%	18%	29%	5%
3.5	0%	5%	10%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	10%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Neftochimic Burgas			Spartak Plovdiv
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	2	5	4	2	6
Failed to score	3	3	6	4	3	7

Penalties

Metric	Neftochimic Burgas	Spartak Plovdiv
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Neftochimic Burgas	Spartak Plovdiv
Wins	7	1
Draws	2	2
Losses	4	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	1-3	7-2	2-3
Biggest losses	0-2	4-0	0-3	2-1
Goals For	3	3	7	3
Goals Against	2	4	3	2

Model comparison

Metric	Neftochimic Burgas	Spartak Plovdiv
Form	50%	50%
Att	30%	70%
Def	65%	35%
Poisson Distribution	46%	54%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	25%	75%
Total	43.2%	56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Spartak Plovdiv

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Neftochimic Burgas vs Spartak Plovdiv

Expected goals (λ): Neftochimic Burgas = 0.71 (league 1.86), Spartak Plovdiv = 0.84 (league 1.15)

		Spartak Plovdiv
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Neftochimic Burgas	0	21.3%	17.8%	7.4%	2.1%	0.4%	0.1%
	1	15.1%	12.7%	5.3%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%
	2	5.4%	4.5%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	1.3%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.4% · Draw 36.0% · Away win 35.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Neftochimic Burgas	Spartak Plovdiv
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0