Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.85)
2.70 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.0% | 12.6% | 75.7% |
best score tips
0 - 2
13.4%
0 - 3
12.0%
0 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Nesebar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atletik Kuklen | 0 | 3.7% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 4.4% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Nesebar carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 116 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Atletik Kuklen +38.5, Nesebar +11.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Atletik Kuklen
vs
Nesebar
Elo gapNesebar +116
Home / draw / away28% / 18% / 54%
Expected home share34%
Combined Elo3096.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3096.9
Elo home share
34%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Atletik Kuklen | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1473 | 1623.9 |
| Form Elo | 1490.3 | 1640.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1486.3 | 1529.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1481.3 | 1782.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1301.9 | 1630.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +38.5 | +11.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Atletik Kuklen last-5 Elo change: +38.5; Nesebar last-5 Elo change: +11.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atletik Kuklen | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 60% | 80% |
| Defense | 50% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 16 | 3.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atletik Kuklen | Nesebar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 16 | 30 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 43% | 31% | 37% | 93% | 57% | 76% |
| Draws | 0% | 19% | 10% | 7% | 21% | 14% |
| Loses | 57% | 50% | 53% | 0% | 21% | 10% |
Atletik KuklenLWWDWWLLLLWLLLWLLWDLLLLWLWLWDW
NesebarLWWWWWWWWWWWLWWDWWWDWDWWDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Atletik Kuklen | Nesebar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 17 | 36 | 63 | 22 | 85 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 2.9 |
| GA total | 27 | 36 | 63 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atletik Kuklen | Nesebar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 93% | 83% | 48% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 53% | 72% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 30% | 52% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 27% | 31% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 21% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atletik Kuklen | Nesebar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atletik Kuklen | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atletik Kuklen | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-4 | 9-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 5-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atletik Kuklen | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 17% | 83% |
| Total | 27.3% | 72.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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