Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.86)
2.00 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.1% | 20.0% | 66.3% |
best score tips
0 - 2
13.4%
0 - 1
13.4%
1 - 2
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Maritsa Plovdiv | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gigant Saedinenie | 0 | 6.7% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Maritsa Plovdiv carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 160 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Gigant Saedinenie -30.8, Maritsa Plovdiv +10.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Gigant Saedinenie
vs
Maritsa Plovdiv
Elo gapMaritsa Plovdiv +160
Home / draw / away24% / 18% / 58%
Expected home share29%
Combined Elo3153.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3153.7
Elo home share
29%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Gigant Saedinenie | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1479.6 | 1674.1 |
| Form Elo | 1459.1 | 1684.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1518.9 | 1563.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1486 | 1837.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1518.7 | 1656.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -30.8 | +10.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Gigant Saedinenie last-5 Elo change: -30.8; Maritsa Plovdiv last-5 Elo change: +10.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gigant Saedinenie | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Attack | 56% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gigant Saedinenie | Maritsa Plovdiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 14 | 29 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 53% | 14% | 34% | 86% | 64% | 75% |
| Draws | 0% | 29% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Loses | 47% | 57% | 52% | 0% | 21% | 11% |
Gigant SaedinenieLDWWWLWLWWLLLLDWLLDDLWWLLWLLL
Maritsa PlovdivWWWDWWWWWWLWWWLWDDWWWDWWWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Gigant Saedinenie | Maritsa Plovdiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 18 | 38 | 48 | 28 | 76 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 16 | 30 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gigant Saedinenie | Maritsa Plovdiv | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 72% | 93% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 52% | 71% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 28% | 50% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 7% | 39% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 18% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gigant Saedinenie | Maritsa Plovdiv | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gigant Saedinenie | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gigant Saedinenie | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 4-5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gigant Saedinenie | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 26% | 74% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 31.5% | 68.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…