Rakovski 2011 vs Dimitrovgrad

Third League - Southeast — Bulgaria

Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 14:00 • Venue TBA

Not Started

Rakovski 2011

—

Dimitrovgrad

Expected Goals

2.51 (league 1.85) 0.89 (league 1.13)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
68.4%	16.2%	11.2%

best score tips

2 - 0

10.6%

2 - 1

9.4%

3 - 0

8.8%

Score & goals probability table

		Dimitrovgrad
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Rakovski 2011	0	3.4%	3.0%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	8.4%	7.5%	3.3%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	2	10.6%	9.4%	4.1%	1.2%	0.3%	0.0%
	3	8.8%	7.8%	3.5%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	5.5%	4.9%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	2.8%	2.5%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Rakovski 2011 -14.7, Dimitrovgrad -9.4.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Rakovski 2011 Elo 1368.9 · -14.7

Dimitrovgrad Elo 1418.2 · -9.4

Elo gapDimitrovgrad +14

Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%

Expected home share48%

Combined Elo2787.1

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2787.1

Elo home share 48%

Match tone Tactical Watch

Metric	Rakovski 2011	Dimitrovgrad
Overall Elo	1368.9	1418.2
Form Elo	1354.6	1413.8
Home / Away Elo	1462.6	1423.8
Attack Elo	1457.8	1458.4
Defense Elo	1247.7	1304.5
Last 5 Elo change	-14.7	-9.4

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Rakovski 2011 last-5 Elo change: -14.7; Dimitrovgrad last-5 Elo change: -9.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Rakovski 2011	Dimitrovgrad
Played	5	5
Form	20%	40%
Attack	19%	29%
Defense	38%	38%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	13 \| 2.6	13 \| 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

72%

FT probability

3.5+

51%

FT probability

BTTS

71%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Rakovski 2011			Dimitrovgrad
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	14	15	29	15	14	29
Wins	29%	7%	17%	47%	7%	28%
Draws	21%	0%	10%	13%	14%	14%
Loses	50%	93%	72%	40%	79%	59%

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DimitrovgradDWLDLWLLLDDLLWLLWLWLLLWLWLWLL

League goals

Metric	Rakovski 2011			Dimitrovgrad
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	22	14	36	25	7	32
GF avg	1.6	0.9	1.2	1.7	0.5	1.1
GA total	28	50	78	27	40	67
GA avg	2.0	3.3	2.7	1.8	2.9	2.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Rakovski 2011		Dimitrovgrad
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	66%	90%	52%	86%
1.5	38%	72%	38%	59%
2.5	14%	55%	17%	41%
3.5	7%	24%	3%	28%
4.5	0%	14%	0%	10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Rakovski 2011			Dimitrovgrad
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	0	3	2	2	4
Failed to score	3	7	10	5	9	14

Penalties

Metric	Rakovski 2011	Dimitrovgrad
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Rakovski 2011	Dimitrovgrad
Wins	1	1
Draws	1	2
Losses	6	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-0	3-4	3-1	0-2
Biggest losses	0-4	9-0	0-3	7-2
Goals For	4	4	4	2
Goals Against	5	9	4	7

Model comparison

Metric	Rakovski 2011	Dimitrovgrad
Form	33%	67%
Att	40%	60%
Def	50%	50%
Poisson Distribution	74%	26%
H2h	100%	0%
Goals	57%	43%
Total	50.8%	49.2%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Rakovski 2011 vs Dimitrovgrad

Metric	Rakovski 2011	Dimitrovgrad
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0