Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 15:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.63) 0.75 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.3% 31.2% 24.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.2%
0 - 0
15.2%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Marsa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melita 0 15.2% 11.5% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.2% 12.9% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.7% 7.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.7% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelitaMarsa
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack35%25%
Defense65%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melita Marsa
HATHAT
Played4595510
Wins50%60%56%0%40%20%
Draws25%0%11%20%20%20%
Loses25%40%33%80%40%60%

Form: Melita: WWWDLWWLL • Marsa: LWLDDLLWLL

League goals

Metric Melita Marsa
HATHAT
GF total912217512
GF avg2.32.42.31.41.01.2
GA total571213417
GA avg1.31.41.32.60.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelitaMarsa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%89%80%90%
1.567%44%40%50%
2.556%0%0%30%
3.522%0%0%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelitaMarsa
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score112022

Penalties

MetricMelitaMarsa
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMelitaMarsa
Wins31
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-5—0-2
Biggest losses0-22-11-31-0
Goals For4522
Goals Against2231

Model comparison

MetricMelitaMarsa
Form67%33%
Att58%42%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h93%7%
Goals72%28%
Total66.8%33.2%

Advice: Double chance : Melita or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Dafabet
Away5.04 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 1xBet
No1.95 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melita = 1.13 (league 1.63), Marsa = 0.75 (league 1.73)

Marsa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melita 0 15.2% 11.5% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.2% 12.9% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.7% 7.3% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.7% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 24.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1