Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:00 • Victor Tedesco Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.64) 2.73 (league 1.68)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.4% 13.3% 73.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.7%
0 - 3
10.7%
0 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Mgarr United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zurrieq 0 3.1% 8.6% 11.7% 10.7% 7.3% 4.0%
1 2.3% 6.3% 8.6% 7.8% 5.3% 2.9%
2 0.8% 2.3% 3.1% 2.8% 1.9% 1.1%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZurrieqMgarr United
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack33%57%
Defense52%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zurrieq Mgarr United
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%50%33%33%67%50%
Draws17%0%8%17%17%17%
Loses67%50%58%50%17%33%

Form: Zurrieq: WLLLWLWLWLDL • Mgarr United: WWLLWDWLDLWW

League goals

Metric Zurrieq Mgarr United
HATHAT
GF total91019131225
GF avg1.51.71.62.22.02.1
GA total1482214519
GA avg2.31.31.82.30.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZurrieqMgarr United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%92%75%
1.533%42%50%42%
2.525%33%42%33%
3.517%17%17%8%
4.50%8%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZurrieqMgarr United
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricZurrieqMgarr United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricZurrieqMgarr United
Wins12
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-45-10-4
Biggest losses1-53-11-41-0
Goals For4454
Goals Against5342

Model comparison

MetricZurrieqMgarr United
Form36%64%
Att37%63%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mgarr United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Dafabet
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away2.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Superbet
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zurrieq = 0.73 (league 1.64), Mgarr United = 2.73 (league 1.68)

Mgarr United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zurrieq 0 3.1% 8.6% 11.7% 10.7% 7.3% 4.0%
1 2.3% 6.3% 8.6% 7.8% 5.3% 2.9%
2 0.8% 2.3% 3.1% 2.8% 1.9% 1.1%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.4% · Draw 13.3% · Away win 73.3%

vtt 3 , vtd1