Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Rufaro Stadium
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 0.89)
1.15 (league 0.70)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.2% | 28.3% | 35.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
11.5%
0 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Kariba | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dynamos | 0 | 9.9% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Dynamos carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 86 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dynamos +14.8, Kariba -0.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Dynamos
vs
Kariba
Elo gapDynamos +86
Home / draw / away49% / 20% / 31%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo3033.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3033.8
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Dynamos | Kariba |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1542.2 | 1491.6 |
| Form Elo | 1563 | 1486.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1501 | 1494.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1399.4 | 1393.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1637.3 | 1609.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +14.8 | -0.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Dynamos last-5 Elo change: +14.8; Kariba last-5 Elo change: -0.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dynamos | Kariba |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 33% | 33% |
| Defense | 83% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Dynamos | Kariba | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 33% | 60% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Draws | 67% | 40% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
DynamosWDWDWWDD
KaribaWLLWDDDD
League goals
| Metric | Dynamos | Kariba | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dynamos | Kariba | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 50% | 63% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dynamos | Kariba | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dynamos | Kariba |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dynamos | Kariba |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dynamos | Kariba |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 56.3% | 43.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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