Expected Goals
0.73 (league 0.89)
0.21 (league 0.70)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.9% | 45.1% | 10.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
38.7%
1 - 0
28.4%
2 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Triangle United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hunters | 0 | 38.7% | 8.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.4% | 6.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Hunters carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 78 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Hunters -5.4, Triangle United -6.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Hunters
vs
Triangle United
Elo gapHunters +78
Home / draw / away48% / 21% / 31%
Expected home share61%
Combined Elo2952.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2952.9
Elo home share
61%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Hunters | Triangle United |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1497.8 | 1455.1 |
| Form Elo | 1494.2 | 1437.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1498.4 | 1464.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1453 | 1423.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1548.3 | 1591.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -5.4 | -6.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Hunters last-5 Elo change: -5.4; Triangle United last-5 Elo change: -6.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hunters | Triangle United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 47% |
| Attack | 25% | 42% |
| Defense | 33% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
39%
FT probability
2.5+
28%
FT probability
3.5+
20%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hunters | Triangle United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 100% | 25% | 63% | 0% | 33% | 13% |
| Loses | 0% | 75% | 38% | 60% | 67% | 63% |
HuntersDDDLDLDL
Triangle UnitedLLLLWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Hunters | Triangle United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hunters | Triangle United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 38% | 63% | 38% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 25% | 25% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hunters | Triangle United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hunters | Triangle United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hunters | Triangle United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hunters | Triangle United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 22% | 78% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 40.8% | 59.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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