Expected Goals
0.73 (league 0.89)
1.50 (league 0.70)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.2% | 26.2% | 55.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.1%
0 - 2
12.1%
1 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Scotland Mabvuku | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| MWOS | 0 | 10.7% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: MWOS +5.2, Scotland Mabvuku -16.8.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
MWOS
vs
Scotland Mabvuku
Elo gapMWOS +2
Home / draw / away35% / 30% / 35%
Expected home share50%
Combined Elo3174.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3174.3
Elo home share
50%
Match tone
Must Watch
| Metric | MWOS | Scotland Mabvuku |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1570.6 | 1603.7 |
| Form Elo | 1573 | 1596 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1553.7 | 1573.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1418.6 | 1507.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1658.7 | 1667 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +5.2 | -16.8 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. MWOS last-5 Elo change: +5.2; Scotland Mabvuku last-5 Elo change: -16.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | MWOS | Scotland Mabvuku |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 60% |
| Attack | 58% | 50% |
| Defense | 58% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | MWOS | Scotland Mabvuku | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 67% | 20% | 38% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
| Draws | 33% | 60% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 63% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
MWOSDDDWLWWD
Scotland MabvukuDDWWWDDD
League goals
| Metric | MWOS | Scotland Mabvuku | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | MWOS | Scotland Mabvuku | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 63% | 50% | 25% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 13% | 38% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 38% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | MWOS | Scotland Mabvuku | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | MWOS | Scotland Mabvuku |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | MWOS | Scotland Mabvuku |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | MWOS | Scotland Mabvuku |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 45.0% | 55.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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