Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 0.89) 1.50 (league 0.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.2% 26.2% 55.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.1%
0 - 2
12.1%
1 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Scotland Mabvuku
0 1 2 3 4 5
MWOS 0 10.7% 16.1% 12.1% 6.0% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.9% 11.8% 8.8% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
2 2.9% 4.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: MWOS +5.2, Scotland Mabvuku -16.8.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone
MWOS Elo 1570.6 · +5.2
vs
Scotland Mabvuku Elo 1603.7 · -16.8
Elo gapMWOS +2
Home / draw / away35% / 30% / 35%
Expected home share50%
Combined Elo3174.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band Thin confidence
Upset risk High
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3174.3
Elo home share 50%
Match tone Must Watch
Metric MWOS Scotland Mabvuku
Overall Elo1570.61603.7
Form Elo15731596
Home / Away Elo1553.71573.1
Attack Elo1418.61507.2
Defense Elo1658.71667
Last 5 Elo change+5.2-16.8

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. MWOS last-5 Elo change: +5.2; Scotland Mabvuku last-5 Elo change: -16.8.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMWOSScotland Mabvuku
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack58%50%
Defense58%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MWOS Scotland Mabvuku
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins67%20%38%25%50%38%
Draws33%60%50%75%50%63%
Loses0%20%13%0%0%0%
MWOSDDDWLWWD
Scotland MabvukuDDWWWDDD

League goals

Metric MWOS Scotland Mabvuku
HATHAT
GF total4484610
GF avg1.30.81.01.01.51.3
GA total246123
GA avg0.70.80.80.30.50.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMWOSScotland Mabvuku
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%50%25%
1.538%13%38%13%
2.50%0%38%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMWOSScotland Mabvuku
HATHAT
Clean sheets123336
Failed to score033224

Penalties

MetricMWOSScotland Mabvuku
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMWOSScotland Mabvuku
Wins23
Draws32
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-00-3
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For2233
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricMWOSScotland Mabvuku
Form53%47%
Att54%46%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.0%55.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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