Sun, May 3 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 0.89)
0.69 (league 0.70)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.5% | 35.2% | 26.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
20.4%
1 - 0
18.4%
0 - 1
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
| TelOne | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Triangle United | 0 | 20.4% | 14.0% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.4% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
TelOne carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 18 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Triangle United -6.4, TelOne -22.9.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Triangle United
vs
TelOne
Elo gapTelOne +18
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo2947.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2947.3
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Triangle United | TelOne |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1447.1 | 1500.2 |
| Form Elo | 1426.2 | 1478.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1497.8 | 1542.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1416.1 | 1455.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1592.4 | 1593.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -6.4 | -22.9 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Triangle United last-5 Elo change: -6.4; TelOne last-5 Elo change: -22.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Triangle United | TelOne |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 7% |
| Attack | 45% | 18% |
| Defense | 82% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
48%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Triangle United | TelOne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 22% | 0% | 75% | 33% |
| Loses | 60% | 50% | 56% | 100% | 25% | 67% |
Triangle UnitedLLLLWLDWD
TelOneLDLDLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Triangle United | TelOne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Triangle United | TelOne | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 67% | 44% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 11% | 22% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Triangle United | TelOne | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Triangle United | TelOne |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Triangle United | TelOne |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Triangle United | TelOne |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 89% | 11% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 60.8% | 39.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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