Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 • Kringsja kunstgress
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.74) 0.72 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.5% 39.9% 34.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.3%
0 - 1
19.7%
1 - 0
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
Bodø / Glimt W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyn W 0 27.3% 19.7% 7.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.7% 11.3% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Lyn W carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 109 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Lyn W +19.7, Bodø / Glimt W -2.5.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Lyn W Elo 1452.8 · +19.7
vs
Bodø / Glimt W Elo 1379.1 · -2.5
Elo gapLyn W +109
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share65%
Combined Elo2831.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2831.9
Elo home share 65%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Lyn W Bodø / Glimt W
Overall Elo1452.81379.1
Form Elo1493.31373.8
Home / Away Elo1496.61467.3
Attack Elo1445.61383.4
Defense Elo13891290.3
Last 5 Elo change+19.7-2.5

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Lyn W last-5 Elo change: +19.7; Bodø / Glimt W last-5 Elo change: -2.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLyn WBodø / Glimt W
Played33
Form56%22%
Attack14%14%
Defense93%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.72 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.35 | 1.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lyn W Bodø / Glimt W
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%50%33%0%0%0%
Draws100%50%67%50%100%67%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%33%
Lyn WWDD
Bodø / Glimt WDDL

League goals

Metric Lyn W Bodø / Glimt W
HATHAT
GF total112112
GF avg1.00.50.70.51.00.7
GA total101415
GA avg1.00.00.32.01.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLyn WBodø / Glimt W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%67%67%
1.50%0%0%33%
2.50%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLyn WBodø / Glimt W
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricLyn WBodø / Glimt W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLyn WBodø / Glimt W
Wins10
Draws02
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-1
Biggest losses1-4
Goals For1111
Goals Against1041

Model comparison

MetricLyn WBodø / Glimt W
Form71%29%
Att50%50%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total60.2%39.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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