Toppserien
— Norway
Sat, May 2 2026 • 12:00 •
Haugesund Stadion
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.76)
0.90 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.8% | 37.8% | 45.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
26.6%
0 - 1
23.9%
1 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Lyn W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Haugesund W | 0 | 26.6% | 23.9% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Haugesund W carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 174 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Haugesund W +9.6, Lyn W +30.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Haugesund W
vs
Lyn W
Elo gapHaugesund W +174
Home / draw / away60% / 18% / 22%
Expected home share73%
Combined Elo3065.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3065.4
Elo home share
73%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Haugesund W | Lyn W |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1602 | 1463.4 |
| Form Elo | 1617.3 | 1507.5 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1542.2 | 1459.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1703.8 | 1530.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1521.3 | 1403.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +9.6 | +30.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Haugesund W last-5 Elo change: +9.6; Lyn W last-5 Elo change: +30.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Haugesund W | Lyn W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 67% |
| Attack | 45% | 55% |
| Defense | 60% | 95% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 2.3 | 11 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Haugesund W | Lyn W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Haugesund WDLWW
Lyn WWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Haugesund W | Lyn W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 2.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GA avg | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Haugesund W | Lyn W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 75% | 25% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 50% | 25% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Haugesund W | Lyn W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Haugesund W | Lyn W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Haugesund W | Lyn W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-3 | 9-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Haugesund W | Lyn W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 11% | 89% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 34.3% | 65.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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