Toppserien — Norway
Tue, Apr 28 2026 • 16:00 • Brann Stadion
Not Started

Brann W

—

Haugesund W

Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.74) 0.72 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.5% 39.9% 34.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.3%
0 - 1
19.7%
1 - 0
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
Haugesund W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brann W 0 27.3% 19.7% 7.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.7% 11.3% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.5% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Brann W carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 149 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Brann W +13.7, Haugesund W +1.7.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Brann W Elo 1707.9 · +13.7
vs
Haugesund W Elo 1594.1 · +1.7
Elo gapBrann W +149
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share70%
Combined Elo3302
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3302
Elo home share 70%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Brann W Haugesund W
Overall Elo1707.91594.1
Form Elo1725.31600.5
Home / Away Elo1585.41535.6
Attack Elo1942.51696.2
Defense Elo1685.71528
Last 5 Elo change+13.7+1.7

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Brann W last-5 Elo change: +13.7; Haugesund W last-5 Elo change: +1.7.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrann WHaugesund W
Played33
Form78%44%
Attack71%43%
Defense86%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 3.36 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.76 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

89%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brann W Haugesund W
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%100%67%50%0%33%
Draws100%0%33%0%100%33%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%33%
Brann WWDW
Haugesund WDLW

League goals

Metric Brann W Haugesund W
HATHAT
GF total1910516
GF avg1.04.53.32.51.02.0
GA total112516
GA avg1.00.50.72.51.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrann WHaugesund W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%100%
1.567%0%67%33%
2.567%0%33%33%
3.567%0%0%33%
4.533%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrann WHaugesund W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBrann WHaugesund W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBrann WHaugesund W
Wins10
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-53-1—
Biggest losses——2-4—
Goals For1531
Goals Against1141

Model comparison

MetricBrann WHaugesund W
Form64%36%
Att63%38%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total64.8%35.5%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Brann W vs Haugesund W