Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:00 •
Kristianstad Arena
Expected Goals
4.67 (league 1.71)
0.63 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
best score tips
4 - 0
9.9%
5 - 0
9.2%
3 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Växjö | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kristianstad | 0 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Kristianstad carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 146 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kristianstad +24.2, Växjö +14.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Kristianstad
vs
Växjö
Elo gapKristianstad +146
Home / draw / away57% / 18% / 25%
Expected home share70%
Combined Elo3063.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3063.2
Elo home share
70%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Kristianstad | Växjö |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1587 | 1476.2 |
| Form Elo | 1642.2 | 1517.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1529.7 | 1507.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1629.4 | 1546.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1527.7 | 1370.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +24.2 | +14.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Kristianstad last-5 Elo change: +24.2; Växjö last-5 Elo change: +14.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kristianstad | Växjö |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 100% | 50% |
| Attack | 64% | 36% |
| Defense | 73% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 3.5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
80%
FT probability
3.5+
57%
FT probability
BTTS
91%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kristianstad | Växjö | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
KristianstadWW
VäxjöLW
League goals
| Metric | Kristianstad | Växjö | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kristianstad | Växjö | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kristianstad | Växjö | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kristianstad | Växjö |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kristianstad | Växjö |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-3 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kristianstad | Växjö |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 63.5% | 36.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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