Damallsvenskan — Sweden
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 • Eleda Stadion
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Malmö FF W

—

Brommapojkarna W

Expected Goals
5.30 (league 1.70) 0.64 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.3% 2.3% 0.9%
best score tips
5 - 0
9.2%
4 - 0
8.6%
3 - 0
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
Brommapojkarna W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malmö FF W 0 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.5% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.6% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 9.2% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Malmö FF W carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 199 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Malmö FF W +11.6, Brommapojkarna W -9.0.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Malmö FF W Elo 1623 · +11.6
vs
Brommapojkarna W Elo 1458.9 · -9.0
Elo gapMalmö FF W +199
Home / draw / away62% / 18% / 20%
Expected home share76%
Combined Elo3081.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3081.9
Elo home share 76%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Malmö FF W Brommapojkarna W
Overall Elo16231458.9
Form Elo1644.71437.2
Home / Away Elo1526.71460.2
Attack Elo1719.31597.8
Defense Elo1577.91362.4
Last 5 Elo change+11.6-9.0

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Malmö FF W last-5 Elo change: +11.6; Brommapojkarna W last-5 Elo change: -9.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMalmö FF WBrommapojkarna W
Played22
Form67%0%
Attack40%20%
Defense90%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 22 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.56 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Malmö FF W Brommapojkarna W
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%0%50%0%0%0%
Draws0%100%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%100%100%100%
Malmö FF WWD
Brommapojkarna WLL

League goals

Metric Malmö FF W Brommapojkarna W
HATHAT
GF total314022
GF avg3.01.02.00.02.01.0
GA total011336
GA avg0.01.00.53.03.03.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMalmö FF WBrommapojkarna W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%100%
1.550%0%50%100%
2.550%0%0%100%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMalmö FF WBrommapojkarna W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricMalmö FF WBrommapojkarna W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMalmö FF WBrommapojkarna W
Wins10
Draws00
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0———
Biggest losses——0-33-2
Goals For3102
Goals Against0133

Model comparison

MetricMalmö FF WBrommapojkarna W
Form100%0%
Att67%33%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total76.0%24.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.26 @ Unibet
Draw5.75 @ BetVictor
Away10.00 @ BetVictor

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.46 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Malmö FF W vs Brommapojkarna W