Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 12:00 •
LF Arena
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.71)
1.89 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.3% | 19.7% | 30.6% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 1
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Vittsjö | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Piteå W | 0 | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Piteå W carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 72 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Piteå W -6.5, Vittsjö -9.3.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Piteå W
vs
Vittsjö
Elo gapPiteå W +72
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo2971.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2971.4
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Piteå W | Vittsjö |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1504.2 | 1467.2 |
| Form Elo | 1495.4 | 1446.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1461.8 | 1486.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1516.2 | 1485.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1492.5 | 1411.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -6.5 | -9.3 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Piteå W last-5 Elo change: -6.5; Vittsjö last-5 Elo change: -9.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Piteå W | Vittsjö |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 17% | 0% |
| Attack | 18% | 18% |
| Defense | 73% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 4 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Piteå W | Vittsjö | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Piteå WLD
VittsjöLL
League goals
| Metric | Piteå W | Vittsjö | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Piteå W | Vittsjö | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Piteå W | Vittsjö | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Piteå W | Vittsjö |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Piteå W | Vittsjö |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | — | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Piteå W | Vittsjö |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 47% | 53% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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